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ONGC analyst meet highlights for Q4FY2012-news31052012


Financial performance for Q4FY12 & FY12:

The net sales for Q4FY2012 grew by 22.2% on YoY to Rs.18819 cr which is supported by higher net realisation (+27.1% on YoY).




The operating profit margin has expanded by 880 bps YoY to 39.8% on account of increase in the net realisation.



In addition to the revenue growth of 22.2% and margin expansion, decrease in the depreciation has resulted in to robust earnings growth of 102.3% on YoY and 56.9% on QoQ to Rs5646 cr.



For the full year FY2012, the net sales and profit after tax of the company grew by 15.1% and 16.2% respectively.  

Production and Realisation update for FY12:



Crude oil production of the company for FY12 declined by 1.3% to 26.9 MTOE, whereas production of Gas has improved marginally by 0.8% to 25.5 BCM.



On the realisation front, the gross crude realisation for FY12 is higher by 31.3% to US$ 117/bbl on account of increase in the crude oil price. However, with the increase in the subsidy burden the net realisation stood at US$ 55/bbl (higher by 1.7%).



The total subsidy for the quarter stood at Rs.14170 cr (+16.8% on yoy) and for full year FY12 it stood at Rs44466 cr (+78.6%).    

Huge reserves base with strong reserve replacement ratio (RRR):



The company holds substantial Oil & Gas reserves with its 1P (Proven) reserves stood at 964 MTOE (including OVL and JV). The 2P (Proven and Probable) and 3P (Proven, Probable and Possible) reserve stood 1426 and 1713 MTOE as on March 2012.



In addition to the healthy reserve base the company has strong Reserve Replacement Ratio (RRR) of 1.79x as on March 2012.



New development during FY12



During FY12, the company has made 23 new discoveries of which 10 are offshore and 13 are onshore. 



Management Guidance for Production in FY13



The management has guided for Crude Oil Production of 27.54 MTOE in FY13 (2.3% higher than production in FY12). The production guidance for Gas is set at 25.73 BCM (~1% higher compared to production of FY12).



Valuation:


At the CMP the stock is trading at PE of 9.8x and 9x discounting its standalone FY12 EPS of Rs25.7 and FY13 EPS of Rs27.9 as per the Bloomberg consensus estimates. The current valuation is below its 5 yr avg. PE of 13x. We do not have any rating on the stock.
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