In Q4FY2012,automobile (auto) coverage saw its revenues grow by 20.2% YoY. The operating profit failed to keep pace with the top line in growth and remained largely flat while the bottom line grew 5.2%, at a much lower pace than the revenues.
The volume outlook given by most companies varied from 0% to 15% growth with most segments expected to grow in the 5-10% range during FY2013. Most companies expect the growth to be back ended i.e. towards H2FY2013.
We expect Apollo Tyres and Maruti Suzuki to lead in terms of earnings growth ( CAGR) between FY2012 and FY2014 primarily on the low base of FY2012. In terms of quality of earnings (excluding the low base effect of FY2012) Bharat Forge and Eicher Motors are best placed as these would enter into the next growth trajectory in FY2014. Given the adverse macro-economic environment and policy headwinds, we expect the auto sector to underperform in H1FY2013.
We have a Hold recommendation on most companies, as we await positive signals that could enhance our conviction to invest.
....more info
The volume outlook given by most companies varied from 0% to 15% growth with most segments expected to grow in the 5-10% range during FY2013. Most companies expect the growth to be back ended i.e. towards H2FY2013.
We expect Apollo Tyres and Maruti Suzuki to lead in terms of earnings growth ( CAGR) between FY2012 and FY2014 primarily on the low base of FY2012. In terms of quality of earnings (excluding the low base effect of FY2012) Bharat Forge and Eicher Motors are best placed as these would enter into the next growth trajectory in FY2014. Given the adverse macro-economic environment and policy headwinds, we expect the auto sector to underperform in H1FY2013.
We have a Hold recommendation on most companies, as we await positive signals that could enhance our conviction to invest.
....more info